Performance as measured by grades in the first and second semesters of organic chemistry was predicted using pre-college measures (SAT scores, high school rank, validation exams) and college measures (general chemistry GPA, overall college GPA prior to beginning organic chemistry, first-semester organic chemistry GPA). Data indicate that overall college GPA prior to organic chemistry is the best predictor of first-semester organic chemistry GPA. First-semester organic chemistry performance is the best predictor of second-semester organic performance. The ability of faculty to reasonably predict how students will do in organic chemistry is particularly applicable in academic program and career advising, especially for students pursuing medical school.
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A number of documents cited in the article are available. These PDFs include: Strategic Vision for the United States Military Academy—2010; Educating Future Army Officers for a Changing World; Comptroller General's Report to the Congress, Academic and Military Programs of the Five Service Academies, 1975; and Executive Summary of Academic Excellence Research in Chemistry, United States Military Academy, 1989.
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